CORE™
−$60.001 completed trades · 0 wins / 1 losses
Win rate 0.0%
0 wins (0.0%) · 1 losses (100.0%)Average win N/AAverage loss −$60.00
Session only · Gross before fees
ACTUAL PAPER TRADES · 2026-10-08 SESSION
Life of the Trade™
Broker fills and logs matched. Fees pending; net results unavailable.
Combined gross: −$44.79
SURGE™
+$15.213 completed trades · 1 wins / 2 losses
Win rate 33.3%
1 wins (33.3%) · 2 losses (66.7%)Average win +$36.80Average loss −$10.80
Session only · Gross before fees
All completed trades
Pacific display times. Session date uses America/New_York. Entry time is the last contributing entry fill; exit is the last contributing sell. Partial fills use weighted averages.
| Engine / instrument | Qty | Entry PT | Exit PT | Entry average | Exit average | Reason | Ownership | Gross |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CORE / SPY261008C00776000 | 15 | 10:13:03 AM | 10:16:44 AM | $0.1700 | $0.1300 | STOP | verified | −$60.00 |
| SURGE / BYRN | 103 | 9:09:19 AM | 9:13:42 AM | $4.5300 | $4.4400 | CONFIRMED_STOP | inferred | −$9.27 |
| SURGE / AIXI | 368 | 9:26:35 AM | 9:31:14 AM | $2.0600 | $2.1600 | TARGET | inferred | +$36.80 |
| SURGE / BYRN | 176 | 11:30:27 AM | 11:39:31 AM | $4.5900 | $4.5200 | CONFIRMED_STOP | inferred | −$12.32 |
Daily check and review
Auto-generated factual observations from records, not an automatic strategy recommendation.
CORE
1 completed trades. Exit triggers: STOP: 1. Repeated instruments: none.
Post-exit quote data unavailable. These observations do not establish that another entry or exit would perform better.
SURGE
3 completed trades. Exit triggers: CONFIRMED_STOP: 2, TARGET: 1. Repeated instruments: BYRN (2 trades).
Post-exit quote data unavailable. These observations do not establish that another entry or exit would perform better.
What we learned · October 8
Research interpretation, added after EOD reconciliation. Four completed paper trades across CORE and SURGE are too few to justify a rule change. Gross results exclude fees; hypotheses below need prospective testing.
- SURGE: payoff matters alongside win rate. One win in three trades produced +$15.21 gross. The +$36.80 winner was about 3.4 times the average −$10.80 loss. At those exact average magnitudes, gross break-even win rate would be approximately 22.7%, before fees and other costs. One session does not establish future expectancy.
- Repeat entries deserve tracking. BYRN lost twice on October 8; JAGX had three losses on October 5. The existing two-loss same-symbol lockout limits further attempts, but the value of earlier re-entry restrictions is unproven. Track the pattern across the prospective sample.
- Order fills can change outcomes. BYRN filled 103 of 217 ordered shares, limiting the size of that loss. A separate AIXI attempt at 8:14 PT reportedly timed out without a fill; it is not counted as a completed trade. The five-second timeout should be evaluated across more orders before modification.
- CORE: cheap-option stop rounding matters. A $0.17 entry and $0.13 exit on 15 contracts produced −$60 gross, or −23.5% of premium. A nominal −20% stop implies $0.136, between one-cent option ticks; rounding to $0.13 explains the difference without proving slippage. The trade used $255 premium and 15 contracts, within the configured limits.
- SURGE-R: zero trades is a research question. The engine recorded no completed trades across its first two sessions. Its Candidate 6 filter may be restrictive, but that is not yet proven. The log-only bull-flag, micro-pullback and flat-top detectors installed after October 8 can identify alternative setups for review; they do not place orders or contribute to P&L.
Process check: The updated CORE cohort label and EOD auto-publication operated as intended. Next action: Continue collecting evidence without changing trading rules on this four-trade sample.
Evidence status
All contributing broker order quantities and averages must match unique fill activities. Stock multiplier is 1; only checked standard SPY option series use 100. Unknown/adjusted option metadata blocks results. Ownership inferred from a unique log match is labeled inferred.
Fees may post later and may lack fill IDs. All fees and net P&L remain pending. Cloud status is separate from broker-to-log reconciliation. No hypothetical price chart, post-exit profit or repaired-build performance is fabricated.
Keep code cohorts separate. Review daily and test/audit proposed changes while preserving the frozen trading builds.